OK here is my take on all remaining contests updated.

NC Obama +6 nets 7 delegates
IN  Hillary  +10 nets 6 delegates.

Ky Hillary +24 nets 13 delegates
PR H +20 nets 11 delegates - This is Obama's best chance to do better.
WV H +30 nets 10 delegates

Ore O +12 nets 6 delegates - This is Hillary's best chance to do better
South Dak O +8 nets 1 delegate
Montana O +12 nets 2 deleg

Expected net change in pledged delegates from remaining contests H 40 O 16

OK here is my take on how it will likely go down.

Florida and Michigan will count 100%  Hillary has too many members on the committee and needs 2 uncommitted to have a majority.  To avoid a floor fight which Obama can trigger with his members I believe the will get a compromise of the following.  Enough people understand that if Hillary pushes Florida and Michigan she wins that they won't fight it.

Obama will get a fair number of delegates in Michigan based on 2/3 of uncommitted votes being his.  Hillary will net 55.  37 from Florida and 18 from Michigan.  

Now Assuming that Edwards delegates vote 100% for Hillary as do all other non Obama pledged delegates she needs the supers to break for her 164 to 123.

If all non Hillary pledged delegates vote Obama then Hillary needs 183 to 104 break from supers.

If Obama has a demographic problem that will cause him to lose in November it will be clear by June.

So to sum up I expect Hillary to win if any of the following occur

1)  If Hillary wins the popular vote.  She currently needs roughly 147385 if you take real clear politics estimate for all states and give Obama 2/3 of uncommitted in Michigan which nets him 158778 from her current "lead".  If you count the Washinton primary instead of the washington caucus the net gain in popular votes Hillary needs is ~97385.  Its pretty clear to me that Hillary gets that number but again it will be much clearer on Tuesday.  If she wins the popular vote I expect Edwards and the majority of supers will endorse her.

OR

2)  If Edwards and other unaffiliated pledged delegates vote Hillary.  I believe Hillary has at least 41 supers loyal more than 50/50 from this point on.  Hillary has been the overwhelming choice of the Democratic party members and as soon as voting is over expect to hear that a LOT.  Even if popular vote goes against her if the pledged delegates of Edwards go 100% for Hillary I think she wins.

OR

3)  Obama continues to show unelectable demographics with SWING states in general polls.  This won't move too much and is a fair predictor of who will win against McCain.  This is a total game changer as his super delegates could defect making his position MUCH worse than it currently appears because each defection counts as 2 uncommitted going against him.  If he is unelectable there is a good chance he loses EVEN if he wins pledged AND popular vote.  Hillary will have some LARGE victories and that will give plenty of cover to anyone who wants to switch.

OR

4)  Its also possible that Hillary has a MASSIVE number of sleepers and if she has about 80 sleepers above 50/50 break she will win assuming the contests go as expected.  This is unlikely but because she had 8 years and affected much of the makeup of the DNC from Bill she may have MASSIVE DNC unelected support.  If that is the case she may have already won this and its just a matter of running out the clock.

To the Obama folks it may seem strange to you that the contest actually works out to  give Hillary several shots at winning.  The reason for this is that the Obama crowd have been lying about what constitutes victory.  Pledged delegates is not what American's have historically understood as what determines a WINNER, popular vote is.

And pledged delegates AND superdelegates AND pledged delegates includes Edwards pledged delegates and a few uncommitted ones too.

After Tuesday the die will mostly be set as Tuesday represents 187 of the remaining 404 pledged delegates and 2 highest delegate count states.  Lower delegate states like guam are very unlikely to change by much as a much higher percentage move is required to move the delegate total.  Thus small states match delegate projections MUCH better than larger states.